Loading...

SOLUSDT Risk Profile

  Click here to unlock this profile

Subscribe to access detailed risk analytics for all assets

Risk Assessment

We use the historical simulation methodology to estimate Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall for cryptocurrency risks in an intuitive and defendable manner. This method takes into account the actual returns experienced by the asset over a window.

1-Day 99% VAR: Upgrade to Access
1-Day 95% VAR: Upgrade to Access
1-Day 99% ES: Upgrade to Access
1-Day 95% ES: Upgrade to Access

VAR Definition: Value at Risk estimates the loss estimated beyond a statistical threshold.
ES Definition: Expected Shortfall estimates the average loss when losses exceed the VaR threshold.


More details on understanding VAR here and here.
Estimating $ Value At Risk

SOLUSDT Owned:

Daily VAR 99% Level: Upgrade to Access
Daily VAR 95% Level: Upgrade to Access
Daily ES 99% Level: Upgrade to Access
Daily ES 95% Level: Upgrade to Access

Upgrade to Plus+ to access live risk calculations and portfolio tools.

SOLUSDT Risk-Adjusted Returns

Primary Ratios
Sharpe Ratio: Upgrade to Access
Sortino Ratio: Upgrade to Access
Calmar Ratio: Upgrade to Access

Supporting Metrics
CAGR: Upgrade to Access
Avg Daily Return: Upgrade to Access
Volatility: Upgrade to Access
Downside Dev: Upgrade to Access
Max Drawdown: Upgrade to Access
Risk-Free Rate: Upgrade to Access
Crypto Peer Comparisons

EXAMPLE DATA - Not Real
Cryptocurrency Assets
AssetSharpeSortinoCalmar
BTC1.241.890.67
ETH1.181.720.58
LTC0.891.340.45
BCH0.761.120.38
SOL1.452.230.82
BNB1.321.950.71
XRP0.921.410.49
TRX0.681.030.34
DOGE0.841.280.42
ADA0.951.470.52
LINK1.121.680.61
HBAR0.881.310.46
SHIB0.731.090.36
UNI1.081.610.56
DOT1.011.540.51
Traditional Benchmarks

EXAMPLE DATA - Not Real
Asset Classes
Asset ClassSharpeSortinoCalmar
S&P 5000.650.980.78
NASDAQ0.721.060.85
Gold (GLD)0.380.540.42
US Bonds0.310.470.68
Hedge Funds0.891.241.12
REITs0.580.860.71
Traditional asset benchmarks for risk-adjusted performance comparison with cryptocurrency assets. These represent typical performance ranges for major asset classes.
Formulas & Definitions

Sharpe Ratio
(Return - Risk-Free Rate) / Standard Deviation

Measures excess return per unit of total risk

Sortino Ratio
(Return - Risk-Free Rate) / Downside Deviation

Measures excess return per unit of downside risk only

Calmar Ratio
CAGR / Maximum Drawdown

Measures return relative to worst historical loss

Key Terms:

CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate - geometric average annual return
Standard Deviation: Annualized volatility of all returns (up and down)
Downside Deviation: Volatility calculated using only negative returns
Max Drawdown: Largest peak-to-trough decline in portfolio value
Risk-Free Rate: 3-month US Treasury rate used as baseline return
Interpretation Guide:

Sharpe > 1.0: Good risk-adjusted performance
Sharpe > 2.0: Excellent risk-adjusted returns
Sortino > Sharpe: Returns are positively skewed (good upside)
High Calmar: Strong returns relative to worst historical losses
Negative Ratios: Poor risk-adjusted performance vs risk-free rate



GARCH Volatility Analysis

Realized Volatility

Upgrade to Plus+ to access volatility metrics

GARCH Forecasts

Upgrade to Plus+ to access volatility projections

Price Projections

Upgrade to Plus+ to access price range forecasts





Stress Scenarios

Historical stress scenarios are recorded at both a macro and idiosynchratic level. We track both historical cryptocurrency specific stress events and events that occur across all financial markets. Please note that at an individual stress level, we only include events under "stress" that have a negative impact for long positions. Please refer to our stress event catelog to view risk events that have both a positive and negative effect. Positive %+ changes are stress events for a Short Futures position.




Risk Disclaimer

Cryptocurrency assets involve numerous risks that may not be suitable for your financial needs or risk appetite. All metrics shown above are estimations and may not reflect true performance. Risk of 100% ruin is always possible.