Pro desk In development

Signals Hit-Rate Board

Backtested signals + live firing log + rolling true-positive rate. A transparent, auditable track record — every signal firing logged, every rule backtested, and the rolling true-positive rate joined back as outcomes elapse.

What you'll get

Three surfaces — a live log, the scorecards that justify the price, and a public preview to scrub the record before paying.

Candidate signal catalog

The first signals on the board and the existing data each reads — the backend applies rules to these live feeds, persists firings, and joins outcomes.

Signal	Thesis	Input	Status
GEX flip	Dealer gamma flips sign → vol-regime change / acceleration	options net_gamma (GEX)	GEX unwired
OI surge	Unusual OI / volume build = a positioning event	options volume / large-trades	Inputs live
25Δ skew shift	Risk-reversal swing → fear/greed regime change	features/options/skew-signal	Live (sparse)
IV–RV extreme	Variance premium at an extreme → vol mean-reversion	volatility/iv-rv-spread	Live
Regime / anomaly	Regime flip or Mahalanobis breach → tradable dislocation	features/regime/anomaly-score	Live

Build sequence

The board is a thin read-layer; the work is the signals system underneath. It ships in order — backend first, board last — and is not scaffolded against mocked data.

1. Signal datastore — each firing recorded with name, timestamp, the input snapshot at fire time, and (later) the realized forward-return outcome.
2. Backtest harness — replays each rule over history to produce prior hit-rate / Sharpe / drawdown, so the board has numbers on day one.
3. Evaluator job — as horizons elapse, joins firings to realized returns and writes outcomes back — what makes the rolling true-positive rate real.
4. Signals API — firings / stats / catalog endpoints the board reads.
5. This board — tier-gated firing log + scorecards + public preview (a ~5-day read-layer once the above exist).

{# ============================================================================ Shared Plus+ paywall / unlock card — included by gated dashboard pages. Context expected: tool_name — e.g. "Funding & Leverage" tool_tagline — the one-glance answer, e.g. "Is the market over-leveraged?" unlock_points — list[str] of what this tool unlocks (4-ish) user — for authed-vs-anon CTA Self-contained: scoped under .cdd-unlock with inline tokens so it renders on any page regardless of the host page's scoped styles. Fonts are loaded by the host page's @import (Fraunces / Instrument Sans / JetBrains Mono). ============================================================================ #}

Quant Desk membership · $149.99/mo

Unlock the full Signals Hit-Rate Board

Backtested signals + live firing log + rolling true-positive rate.

• Live firing log — every signal, timestamped, auditable
• Per-signal scorecard: hit-rate, Sharpe, max drawdown
• Backtested priors so the board is not empty at launch
• A track record you can scrub before you pay

Get Quant Desk — $149.99/mo → See all tools

One membership unlocks every Plus+ dashboard — Volatility Tracker, Options Strike Heatmap, Market Breadth, Funding & Leverage, Market Regime & more. Cancel anytime.

Members only

In development — no live signals yet. When published, hit-rates and Sharpe will be historical, survivorship- and look-ahead-bias-audited, framed as what these rules did historically — never a forecast or trade recommendation. Derived from market data; represents market expectations, not forecasts or financial advice.